Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.072285 0.083953 0.096721 0.111706 0.128785 0.147619 0.169933
2025-01-19 0.052856 0.067820 0.085694 0.108515 0.136770 0.170485 0.213636
2025-01-26 0.043331 0.060645 0.082950 0.113549 0.154157 0.205883 0.276392
2025-02-02 0.036384 0.055035 0.080730 0.118269 0.171171 0.242424 0.344869
2025-02-09 0.028764 0.046831 0.073340 0.114400 0.175548 0.262194 0.392900
2025-02-16 0.023728 0.041321 0.068655 0.113275 0.183070 0.286490 0.449187
2025-02-23 0.019421 0.036059 0.063347 0.110142 0.186751 0.305038 0.498400
2025-03-02 0.016175 0.031905 0.059047 0.107771 0.190960 0.324330 0.550072
2025-03-09 0.014120 0.029440 0.057124 0.108919 0.200744 0.352970 0.618685
2025-03-16 0.011820 0.026069 0.053045 0.105646 0.202448 0.368308 0.666693
2025-03-23 0.010921 0.025272 0.053539 0.110615 0.218993 0.409864 0.761950
2025-03-30 0.009687 0.023550 0.051983 0.111462 0.228026 0.439050 0.838156
2025-04-06 0.008230 0.021109 0.048698 0.108643 0.230135 0.456585 0.896281
2025-04-13 0.007111 0.019211 0.046247 0.107164 0.234635 0.478879 0.965021
2025-04-20 0.006709 0.018939 0.047250 0.113008 0.254317 0.531327 1.094054
2025-04-27 0.006288 0.018540 0.047904 0.118164 0.273103 0.583617 1.226942
2025-05-04 0.005362 0.016637 0.044789 0.114523 0.272975 0.598726 1.289051
2025-05-11 0.004717 0.015355 0.042945 0.113509 0.278331 0.625174 1.375504
2025-05-18 0.004057 0.013882 0.040381 0.110425 0.278698 0.641298 1.442253
2025-05-25 0.003523 0.012657 0.038249 0.108076 0.280420 0.660292 1.516224
2025-06-01 0.003202 0.012016 0.037560 0.109241 0.290413 0.697740 1.631571
2025-06-08 0.002757 0.010866 0.035279 0.105967 0.289402 0.710962 1.696058
2025-06-15 0.002640 0.010797 0.036065 0.110953 0.309124 0.771981 1.868888